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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.84+1.38vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago1.00+0.21vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.23+0.60vs Predicted
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4Indiana University0.10-0.76vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-0.17-2.43vs Predicted
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7Indiana University0.10-3.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Northwestern University0.840.3%1st Place
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2.21University of Chicago1.000.4%1st Place
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3.6Northwestern University-0.230.1%1st Place
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3.24Indiana University0.100.1%1st Place
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3.57University of Illinois-0.170.1%1st Place
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3.24Indiana University0.100.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Lubben | 31.0% | 27.7% | 21.1% | 12.3% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Zi Chong Kao | 35.5% | 27.9% | 20.5% | 12.4% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Emily Fontaine | 10.1% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 26.8% | 33.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Magana | 13.0% | 18.0% | 22.9% | 24.2% | 21.9% | 0.0% |
| Kevan Lee Lum | 10.4% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 24.3% | 33.5% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Magana | 13.0% | 18.0% | 22.9% | 24.2% | 21.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.