← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.41+2.97vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii2.27+1.66vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Los Angeles1.30+3.38vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley0.31+5.39vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-0.12vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+2.43vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+2.30vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University0.54+0.71vs Predicted
-
9California Poly Maritime Academy1.31-3.44vs Predicted
-
10Arizona State University0.66-1.24vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego-0.08-4.35vs Predicted
-
12University of Southern California0.38-2.65vs Predicted
-
13University of Washington0.74-4.47vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Irvine-0.36-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.97Stanford University2.4117.2%1st Place
-
3.66University of Hawaii2.2722.7%1st Place
-
6.38University of California at Los Angeles1.306.5%1st Place
-
9.39University of California at Berkeley0.312.3%1st Place
-
4.88University of California at Santa Barbara1.4413.0%1st Place
-
8.43University of California at Santa Cruz0.823.6%1st Place
-
9.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.513.0%1st Place
-
8.71Western Washington University0.544.0%1st Place
-
5.56California Poly Maritime Academy1.319.6%1st Place
-
8.76Arizona State University0.662.6%1st Place
-
6.65University of California at San Diego-0.087.6%1st Place
-
9.35University of Southern California0.383.2%1st Place
-
8.53University of Washington0.743.5%1st Place
-
11.44University of California at Irvine-0.361.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Lim | 17.2% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 22.7% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Wilton Lawton | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 10.8% |
| Ted McDonough | 13.0% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| George Soliman | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 4.8% |
| Max Case | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 10.2% |
| Nathan Gerber | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% |
| Kyle Farmer | 9.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Matt Grimsley | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 5.7% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Edward Ansart | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.2% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 39.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.