← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Illinois-0.17+2.55vs Predicted
-
3University of Chicago1.00-0.80vs Predicted
-
4Northwestern University0.84-1.61vs Predicted
-
5Indiana University0.10-1.79vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University-0.23-2.36vs Predicted
-
7Indiana University0.10-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.55University of Illinois-0.170.1%1st Place
-
2.2University of Chicago1.000.4%1st Place
-
2.39Northwestern University0.840.3%1st Place
-
3.21Indiana University0.100.1%1st Place
-
3.64Northwestern University-0.230.1%1st Place
-
3.21Indiana University0.100.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevan Lee Lum | 10.8% | 13.3% | 18.3% | 25.0% | 32.6% | 0.0% |
| Zi Chong Kao | 35.3% | 28.4% | 20.3% | 12.6% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lubben | 31.0% | 26.1% | 22.4% | 13.9% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Magana | 13.7% | 19.5% | 20.6% | 24.1% | 22.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Fontaine | 9.2% | 12.7% | 18.4% | 24.4% | 35.3% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Magana | 13.7% | 19.5% | 20.6% | 24.1% | 22.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.