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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.41+2.92vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.27+1.57vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+1.84vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.08+2.41vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+4.29vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+2.25vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.31+2.41vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.74+0.14vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.54-0.50vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy1.31-4.52vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles1.48-3.71vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.66-3.76vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California-0.01-2.66vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.36-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92Stanford University2.4118.9%1st Place
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3.57University of Hawaii2.2722.7%1st Place
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4.84University of California at Santa Barbara1.4413.7%1st Place
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6.41University of California at San Diego-0.086.8%1st Place
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9.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.512.5%1st Place
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8.25University of California at Santa Cruz0.823.6%1st Place
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9.41University of California at Berkeley0.313.1%1st Place
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8.14University of Washington0.744.3%1st Place
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8.5Western Washington University0.543.1%1st Place
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5.48California Poly Maritime Academy1.319.1%1st Place
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7.29University of California at Los Angeles1.484.8%1st Place
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8.24Arizona State University0.664.3%1st Place
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10.34University of Southern California-0.012.1%1st Place
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11.29University of California at Irvine-0.361.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Lim | 18.9% | 17.9% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 22.7% | 17.5% | 17.6% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 13.7% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Max Case | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 10.2% |
| George Soliman | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 4.8% |
| Wilton Lawton | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 10.3% |
| Erin Pamplin | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% |
| Nathan Gerber | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 5.1% |
| Kyle Farmer | 9.1% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Matt Grimsley | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 5.0% |
| Eleanor Desai | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 17.2% | 21.3% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 17.3% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.