Race 1A

maisa-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Caroline Patten 25.3% 22.8% 18.3% 16.8% 8.8% 5.9% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
James Allsopp 8.7% 11.6% 15.8% 15.4% 17.8% 18.0% 9.7% 2.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Harry Scott 26.7% 21.6% 18.8% 15.3% 10.0% 5.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Graham Gardner 12.4% 13.3% 14.7% 17.7% 18.4% 13.3% 8.2% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Evan Siepert 15.2% 19.3% 16.1% 14.2% 15.5% 11.1% 6.3% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Billy Hluchan 6.4% 6.6% 10.1% 11.6% 17.3% 21.9% 19.6% 5.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Andrew Bergan 3.4% 3.6% 3.8% 6.2% 8.3% 16.9% 35.7% 17.9% 4.2% 0.0%
Brian Street 0.7% 0.4% 0.9% 1.2% 1.6% 3.2% 6.6% 26.3% 59.1% 0.0%
Brian Street 0.7% 0.4% 0.9% 1.2% 1.6% 3.2% 6.6% 26.3% 59.1% 0.0%
Elizabeth Siegal 1.2% 0.8% 1.5% 1.6% 2.3% 4.1% 10.5% 42.6% 35.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.