← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.02+4.97vs Predicted
-
2Yale University1.59+5.99vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.22+4.59vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.09+2.32vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+2.85vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.03+1.85vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University2.48-1.84vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+1.26vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont0.80+1.50vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College0.89-0.07vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University1.83-3.98vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University0.46-0.23vs Predicted
-
13Boston University0.40-0.81vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island1.42-5.62vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University1.07-4.60vs Predicted
-
16Dartmouth College1.08-5.89vs Predicted
-
17Fairfield University-0.43-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.97Boston College2.0210.7%1st Place
-
7.99Yale University1.597.0%1st Place
-
7.59Brown University2.227.5%1st Place
-
6.32Roger Williams University2.0910.7%1st Place
-
7.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.625.3%1st Place
-
7.85Bowdoin College2.036.4%1st Place
-
5.16Harvard University2.4814.0%1st Place
-
9.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.734.7%1st Place
-
10.5University of Vermont0.802.8%1st Place
-
9.93Connecticut College0.893.9%1st Place
-
7.02Tufts University1.838.8%1st Place
-
11.77Salve Regina University0.463.4%1st Place
-
12.19Boston University0.401.9%1st Place
-
8.38University of Rhode Island1.425.4%1st Place
-
10.4Northeastern University1.073.9%1st Place
-
10.11Dartmouth College1.083.2%1st Place
-
14.7Fairfield University-0.430.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Redmond | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mathias Reimer | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Mason Stang | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Oliver Stokke | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Kulas | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 14.0% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 5.1% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 12.2% |
| Peter Stewart | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 17.1% | 13.8% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 4.2% |
| Ben Sheppard | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 3.9% |
| Jane Matthews | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 14.5% | 50.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.