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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.84+1.38vs Predicted
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2Indiana University0.10+1.25vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago1.00-0.81vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.23-0.39vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-0.17-2.43vs Predicted
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7Indiana University0.10-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Northwestern University0.840.3%1st Place
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3.25Indiana University0.100.1%1st Place
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2.19University of Chicago1.000.4%1st Place
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3.61Northwestern University-0.230.1%1st Place
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3.57University of Illinois-0.170.1%1st Place
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3.25Indiana University0.100.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Lubben | 30.7% | 27.8% | 21.3% | 12.7% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Magana | 12.8% | 17.9% | 22.2% | 26.0% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| Zi Chong Kao | 37.0% | 27.1% | 19.9% | 11.7% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Fontaine | 9.2% | 13.7% | 18.5% | 24.1% | 34.5% | 0.0% |
| Kevan Lee Lum | 10.3% | 13.5% | 18.1% | 25.5% | 32.6% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Magana | 12.8% | 17.9% | 22.2% | 26.0% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.