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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.84+1.39vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago1.00-0.81vs Predicted
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4Indiana University0.10-0.77vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-0.17-1.43vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.23-2.37vs Predicted
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7Indiana University0.10-3.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39Northwestern University0.840.3%1st Place
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2.19University of Chicago1.000.4%1st Place
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3.23Indiana University0.100.1%1st Place
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3.57University of Illinois-0.170.1%1st Place
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3.63Northwestern University-0.230.1%1st Place
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3.23Indiana University0.100.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Lubben | 30.8% | 28.0% | 20.2% | 13.9% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Zi Chong Kao | 35.8% | 28.2% | 20.7% | 12.0% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Magana | 13.8% | 17.3% | 22.3% | 25.3% | 21.3% | 0.0% |
| Kevan Lee Lum | 9.6% | 14.0% | 19.3% | 24.5% | 32.6% | 0.0% |
| Emily Fontaine | 10.0% | 12.5% | 17.5% | 24.3% | 35.7% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Magana | 13.8% | 17.3% | 22.3% | 25.3% | 21.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.