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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.84+1.38vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago1.00+0.21vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois-0.17+0.53vs Predicted
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4Indiana University0.10-0.76vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.23-1.36vs Predicted
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7Indiana University0.10-3.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Northwestern University0.840.3%1st Place
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2.21University of Chicago1.000.4%1st Place
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3.53University of Illinois-0.170.1%1st Place
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3.24Indiana University0.100.1%1st Place
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3.64Northwestern University-0.230.1%1st Place
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3.24Indiana University0.100.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Lubben | 30.9% | 28.0% | 20.8% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Zi Chong Kao | 35.6% | 27.7% | 20.5% | 12.4% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Kevan Lee Lum | 10.7% | 13.1% | 19.0% | 27.0% | 30.2% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Magana | 12.9% | 18.3% | 23.0% | 23.5% | 22.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Fontaine | 9.9% | 12.9% | 16.7% | 24.7% | 35.8% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Magana | 12.9% | 18.3% | 23.0% | 23.5% | 22.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.