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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.27+0.46vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois0.44+0.04vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago-1.32+0.38vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.99-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46Northwestern University1.270.6%1st Place
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2.04University of Illinois0.440.3%1st Place
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3.38University of Chicago-1.320.1%1st Place
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3.12Northwestern University-0.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Bruce | 63.6% | 28.3% | 6.8% | 1.3% |
| Adam Flanders | 25.1% | 50.3% | 19.9% | 4.7% |
| Katy Carlyle | 5.5% | 8.9% | 28.1% | 57.5% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 5.8% | 12.5% | 45.2% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.