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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.41+2.75vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+2.77vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.89vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.31+1.26vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.27-1.47vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.31+2.87vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.54+1.18vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.660.00vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-0.28vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-2.31vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.08-4.65vs Predicted
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12University of Washington0.18-2.65vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.36-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Stanford University2.4120.2%1st Place
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4.77University of California at Santa Barbara1.4411.8%1st Place
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5.89University of California at Los Angeles1.308.6%1st Place
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5.26California Poly Maritime Academy1.319.8%1st Place
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3.53University of Hawaii2.2722.2%1st Place
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8.87University of California at Berkeley0.312.2%1st Place
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8.18Western Washington University0.544.0%1st Place
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8.0Arizona State University0.663.8%1st Place
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8.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.513.6%1st Place
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7.69University of California at Santa Cruz0.824.5%1st Place
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6.35University of California at San Diego-0.086.5%1st Place
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9.35University of Washington0.181.6%1st Place
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10.64University of California at Irvine-0.360.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Lim | 20.2% | 17.4% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 11.8% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Kyle Farmer | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Bastien Rasse | 22.2% | 19.4% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 11.6% |
| Nathan Gerber | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 7.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 6.2% |
| Max Case | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 11.8% |
| George Soliman | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 5.5% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Jaden Unruh | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 16.6% |
| Nikita Swatek | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.