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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.27+0.46vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois0.44+0.05vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.99+0.13vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-1.32-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46Northwestern University1.270.6%1st Place
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2.05University of Illinois0.440.2%1st Place
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3.13Northwestern University-0.990.1%1st Place
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3.36University of Chicago-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Bruce | 63.7% | 28.2% | 6.8% | 1.3% |
| Adam Flanders | 25.0% | 49.4% | 21.3% | 4.3% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 7.3% | 12.9% | 39.2% | 40.6% |
| Katy Carlyle | 4.0% | 9.5% | 32.7% | 53.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.