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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.27+2.26vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+2.53vs Predicted
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3Stanford University1.35+2.65vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.08+2.07vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.31+0.14vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University0.66+1.84vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.48-0.22vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.54+0.18vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-0.22vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.31-1.28vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.74-3.14vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-4.37vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.36-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26University of Hawaii2.2725.8%1st Place
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4.53University of California at Santa Barbara1.4413.4%1st Place
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5.65Stanford University1.359.6%1st Place
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6.07University of California at San Diego-0.088.3%1st Place
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5.14California Poly Maritime Academy1.3111.8%1st Place
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7.84Arizona State University0.664.7%1st Place
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6.78University of California at Los Angeles1.486.2%1st Place
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8.18Western Washington University0.544.0%1st Place
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8.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.513.0%1st Place
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8.72University of California at Berkeley0.312.9%1st Place
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7.86University of Washington0.744.2%1st Place
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7.63University of California at Santa Cruz0.824.7%1st Place
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10.55University of California at Irvine-0.361.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 25.8% | 19.3% | 16.8% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 13.4% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| AnaClare Sole | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Kyle Farmer | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Matt Grimsley | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.3% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Nathan Gerber | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 8.1% |
| Max Case | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 12.4% |
| Wilton Lawton | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 13.9% |
| Erin Pamplin | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% |
| George Soliman | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 6.3% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 16.0% | 40.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.