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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University0.47+1.15vs Predicted
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2Penn State Behrend0.41+0.26vs Predicted
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3U. S. Military Academy-1.71+2.49vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-1.50+0.97vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.82+0.39vs Predicted
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6Villanova University-2.00-0.24vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-0.78-3.26vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.35-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Drexel University0.4736.0%1st Place
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2.26Penn State Behrend0.4133.7%1st Place
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5.49U. S. Military Academy-1.714.3%1st Place
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4.97Rutgers University-1.505.2%1st Place
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5.39University of Delaware-1.823.4%1st Place
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5.76Villanova University-2.003.2%1st Place
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3.74Syracuse University-0.7812.4%1st Place
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6.25Catholic University of America-2.351.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iain Shand | 36.0% | 31.4% | 19.4% | 9.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Farrar | 33.7% | 29.8% | 20.9% | 10.0% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gil Hankinson | 4.3% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 16.3% | 19.1% | 19.9% | 16.1% |
| Marlon Wool | 5.2% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 16.0% | 19.9% | 18.5% | 14.6% | 8.8% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 3.4% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 16.8% | 18.6% | 19.9% | 14.1% |
| Ella Kilgore | 3.2% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 18.2% | 20.0% | 22.8% |
| Henry Ihle | 12.4% | 14.1% | 19.1% | 21.9% | 16.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Catey Knopf | 1.8% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 19.4% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.