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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois0.44+1.07vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.27-0.51vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago-0.92+0.20vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.99-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07University of Illinois0.440.3%1st Place
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1.49Northwestern University1.270.6%1st Place
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3.2University of Chicago-0.920.1%1st Place
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3.24Northwestern University-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Flanders | 27.0% | 45.1% | 21.9% | 6.0% |
| Jacob Bruce | 60.5% | 31.2% | 7.3% | 1.0% |
| Harry Posner | 7.6% | 10.5% | 36.1% | 45.8% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 4.9% | 13.2% | 34.7% | 47.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.