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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University0.47+1.11vs Predicted
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2Penn State Behrend0.41+0.23vs Predicted
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3U. S. Military Academy-1.71+2.46vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-1.82+1.42vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-1.50+0.03vs Predicted
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6Villanova University-2.00-0.35vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-0.78-3.22vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.35-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11Drexel University0.4737.5%1st Place
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2.23Penn State Behrend0.4134.1%1st Place
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5.46U. S. Military Academy-1.713.2%1st Place
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5.42University of Delaware-1.824.4%1st Place
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5.03Rutgers University-1.504.5%1st Place
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5.65Villanova University-2.003.4%1st Place
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3.78Syracuse University-0.7811.5%1st Place
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6.31Catholic University of America-2.351.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iain Shand | 37.5% | 31.4% | 18.6% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Farrar | 34.1% | 30.3% | 20.2% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gil Hankinson | 3.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 16.6% | 18.8% | 18.8% | 16.2% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 4.4% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 18.9% | 19.4% | 15.5% |
| Marlon Wool | 4.5% | 6.2% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 18.8% | 17.5% | 16.7% | 9.2% |
| Ella Kilgore | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 18.4% | 19.9% | 20.5% |
| Henry Ihle | 11.5% | 13.0% | 20.4% | 21.2% | 16.6% | 10.8% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Catey Knopf | 1.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 19.9% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.