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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend0.41+1.22vs Predicted
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2Drexel University-0.05+0.75vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-1.13+1.38vs Predicted
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4Villanova University-2.00+1.82vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-1.50+0.02vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.35+0.33vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-0.78-3.17vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy-1.71-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22Penn State Behrend0.4137.9%1st Place
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2.75Drexel University-0.0524.4%1st Place
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4.38University of Delaware-1.138.8%1st Place
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5.82Villanova University-2.003.6%1st Place
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5.02Rutgers University-1.506.2%1st Place
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6.33Catholic University of America-2.353.1%1st Place
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3.83Syracuse University-0.7811.7%1st Place
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5.64U. S. Military Academy-1.714.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Farrar | 37.9% | 27.8% | 18.0% | 10.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kieran Elliott | 24.4% | 24.8% | 21.7% | 15.6% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Anna Servidio | 8.8% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 17.6% | 15.3% | 10.8% | 5.3% |
| Ella Kilgore | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 17.3% | 22.7% | 23.5% |
| Marlon Wool | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 17.2% | 18.4% | 16.2% | 10.8% |
| Catey Knopf | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 19.8% | 38.8% |
| Henry Ihle | 11.7% | 14.4% | 19.9% | 18.0% | 16.2% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 1.8% |
| Gil Hankinson | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 18.4% | 21.8% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.