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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.60+1.84vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.02+1.93vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.79+1.18vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-1.22vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.82-1.01vs Predicted
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6American University2.24-0.99vs Predicted
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8Drexel University1.52-1.81vs Predicted
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9University of Rochester-0.36-0.76vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester-0.36-1.76vs Predicted
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11Columbia University0.11-3.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84SUNY Maritime College3.600.3%1st Place
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3.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.020.1%1st Place
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4.18U. S. Naval Academy2.790.1%1st Place
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2.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.3%1st Place
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3.99Fordham University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.01American University2.240.1%1st Place
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6.19Drexel University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.24University of Rochester-0.360.0%1st Place
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8.24University of Rochester-0.360.0%1st Place
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7.84Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Scott | 25.9% | 23.3% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Siepert | 10.5% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 19.0% | 17.1% | 12.4% | 7.1% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Allsopp | 12.3% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 18.6% | 15.0% | 10.3% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Patten | 27.3% | 22.5% | 19.8% | 14.4% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gardner | 12.3% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Billy Hluchan | 6.9% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 16.8% | 21.9% | 19.7% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bergan | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 16.3% | 35.6% | 17.7% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Street | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 25.9% | 59.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian Street | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 25.9% | 59.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 10.1% | 42.9% | 35.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.