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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.02+4.88vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.48+3.10vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.89+6.94vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.59+4.01vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.08+4.76vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.40+6.28vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.83+0.10vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+1.23vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.09-2.79vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62-2.02vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.42-2.61vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.80-1.60vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.07-2.65vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.46-1.90vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.22-7.17vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.03-8.23vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-0.43-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.88Boston College2.0210.8%1st Place
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5.1Harvard University2.4814.7%1st Place
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9.94Connecticut College0.893.8%1st Place
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8.01Yale University1.596.9%1st Place
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9.76Dartmouth College1.084.2%1st Place
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12.28Boston University0.402.2%1st Place
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7.1Tufts University1.837.6%1st Place
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9.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.734.9%1st Place
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6.21Roger Williams University2.0910.1%1st Place
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7.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.625.6%1st Place
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8.39University of Rhode Island1.426.3%1st Place
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10.4University of Vermont0.803.3%1st Place
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10.35Northeastern University1.074.0%1st Place
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12.1Salve Regina University0.461.9%1st Place
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7.83Brown University2.226.5%1st Place
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7.77Bowdoin College2.036.2%1st Place
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14.68Fairfield University-0.431.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Redmond | 10.8% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 14.7% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Ben Sheppard | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Peter Stewart | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 18.1% | 14.1% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Kulas | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 4.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 5.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 13.2% |
| Mason Stang | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Jane Matthews | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 16.2% | 48.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.