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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois0.44+1.03vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.27-0.55vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago-1.32+0.39vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.99-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03University of Illinois0.440.3%1st Place
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1.45Northwestern University1.270.6%1st Place
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3.39University of Chicago-1.320.1%1st Place
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3.13Northwestern University-0.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Flanders | 27.3% | 47.2% | 20.9% | 4.6% |
| Jacob Bruce | 62.5% | 30.3% | 6.6% | 0.6% |
| Katy Carlyle | 5.2% | 8.5% | 28.5% | 57.8% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 5.0% | 14.0% | 44.0% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.