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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago-1.32+2.37vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois0.44+0.03vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.27-1.54vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.99-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37University of Chicago-1.320.0%1st Place
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2.03University of Illinois0.440.3%1st Place
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1.46Northwestern University1.270.6%1st Place
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3.13Northwestern University-0.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katy Carlyle | 3.9% | 10.7% | 29.7% | 55.7% |
| Adam Flanders | 27.0% | 46.8% | 22.0% | 4.2% |
| Jacob Bruce | 63.0% | 29.4% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 6.1% | 13.1% | 42.1% | 38.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.