← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Military Academy-1.71+4.39vs Predicted
-
2Drexel University0.47+0.10vs Predicted
-
3Rutgers University-1.50+1.82vs Predicted
-
4Penn State Behrend0.41-1.81vs Predicted
-
5Syracuse University-0.78-1.37vs Predicted
-
6Catholic University of America-2.35+0.16vs Predicted
-
7Villanova University-2.00-1.34vs Predicted
-
8University of Delaware-2.26-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.39U. S. Military Academy-1.713.1%1st Place
-
2.1Drexel University0.4737.3%1st Place
-
4.82Rutgers University-1.504.9%1st Place
-
2.19Penn State Behrend0.4135.2%1st Place
-
3.63Syracuse University-0.7811.8%1st Place
-
6.16Catholic University of America-2.351.8%1st Place
-
5.66Villanova University-2.002.9%1st Place
-
6.05University of Delaware-2.262.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gil Hankinson | 3.1% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 19.7% | 19.6% | 13.2% |
| Iain Shand | 37.3% | 32.5% | 18.4% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marlon Wool | 4.9% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 21.3% | 19.1% | 13.3% | 6.0% |
| Anthony Farrar | 35.2% | 30.9% | 20.0% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Ihle | 11.8% | 13.6% | 23.8% | 21.6% | 15.0% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Catey Knopf | 1.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 17.3% | 19.9% | 32.3% |
| Ella Kilgore | 2.9% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 12.2% | 17.8% | 17.0% | 20.2% | 19.1% |
| Elise Singletary | 2.9% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 16.1% | 22.4% | 28.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.