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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego1.81+3.12vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+1.52vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.47-0.04vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.17-0.49vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.49-0.11vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine1.35-2.92vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.44-1.88vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.48-5.22vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07-3.01vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.44-4.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12University of California at San Diego1.810.2%1st Place
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3.52University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.2%1st Place
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2.96University of Southern California2.470.3%1st Place
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5.51University of California at Berkeley1.170.1%1st Place
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6.89University of California at San Diego0.490.0%1st Place
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5.08University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
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7.12Arizona State University0.440.0%1st Place
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4.78University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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7.99University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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7.03University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Delfino | 15.2% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Ian Stokes | 19.3% | 18.2% | 17.7% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 26.6% | 21.2% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Martin Gibson | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 3.4% |
| Joseph McArdle | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 19.1% | 16.7% |
| Nicholas Weis | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Austin Hodges | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 18.5% |
| Jacob Hiew | 9.1% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Anthony Helm | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 19.7% | 37.2% |
| Gabriel Monti | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 19.3% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.