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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rutgers University-1.50+3.98vs Predicted
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2Penn State Behrend0.41+0.15vs Predicted
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3U. S. Military Academy-1.71+2.58vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-1.35+0.68vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.78-1.28vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.05-3.32vs Predicted
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7Villanova University-2.00-1.18vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.35-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98Rutgers University-1.506.8%1st Place
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2.15Penn State Behrend0.4137.5%1st Place
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5.58U. S. Military Academy-1.713.4%1st Place
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4.68University of Delaware-1.357.0%1st Place
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3.72Syracuse University-0.7813.9%1st Place
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2.68Drexel University-0.0525.2%1st Place
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5.82Villanova University-2.003.4%1st Place
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6.38Catholic University of America-2.352.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marlon Wool | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 16.8% | 9.8% |
Anthony Farrar | 37.5% | 30.7% | 17.8% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Gil Hankinson | 3.4% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 17.3% | 21.1% | 18.5% |
Addie Perez | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 16.9% | 18.9% | 17.5% | 12.7% | 6.7% |
Henry Ihle | 13.9% | 12.6% | 20.8% | 18.8% | 16.2% | 11.2% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
Kieran Elliott | 25.2% | 27.5% | 20.0% | 14.7% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
Ella Kilgore | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 17.9% | 21.3% | 24.1% |
Catey Knopf | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 21.6% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.