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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+2.47vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.81+2.18vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University0.44+2.12vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine1.35-0.86vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07+0.89vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.17-2.52vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California2.47-6.11vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.48-5.21vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.49-4.03vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.44-4.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.2%1st Place
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4.18University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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7.12Arizona State University0.440.0%1st Place
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5.14University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
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7.89University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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5.48University of California at Berkeley1.170.1%1st Place
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2.89University of Southern California2.470.3%1st Place
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4.79University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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6.97University of California at San Diego0.490.0%1st Place
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7.07University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Stokes | 22.0% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 13.3% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Austin Hodges | 4.1% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 16.7% | 20.8% | 17.9% |
| Nicholas Weis | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 2.6% |
| Anthony Helm | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 20.6% | 36.3% |
| Martin Gibson | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 3.6% |
| John Coakley | 27.4% | 22.4% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hiew | 9.4% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Joseph McArdle | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 16.4% |
| Gabriel Monti | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 16.5% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.