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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+2.50vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine1.35+3.19vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University0.44+2.16vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.47-3.05vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.48-2.21vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.17-2.50vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.49-1.95vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07-1.99vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.67-4.35vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego1.81-7.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.2%1st Place
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5.19University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
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7.16Arizona State University0.440.0%1st Place
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2.95University of Southern California2.470.3%1st Place
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4.79University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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5.5University of California at Berkeley1.170.1%1st Place
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7.05University of California at San Diego0.490.0%1st Place
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8.01University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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6.65University of California at Los Angeles0.670.0%1st Place
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4.19University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Stokes | 20.5% | 19.0% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Weis | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% |
| Austin Hodges | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 20.9% | 20.1% |
| John Coakley | 26.5% | 22.7% | 18.3% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Hiew | 11.8% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Martin Gibson | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 4.3% |
| Joseph McArdle | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 20.1% | 15.7% |
| Anthony Helm | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 17.3% | 39.3% |
| James Healy | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 18.1% | 15.3% | 13.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 12.1% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.