← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at San Diego1.81+3.15vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+1.54vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Berkeley1.48+1.90vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley1.17+0.56vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Irvine1.35-0.89vs Predicted
-
7University of Southern California2.47-4.11vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego0.49-0.92vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Los Angeles0.67-2.38vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07-1.95vs Predicted
-
11Arizona State University0.44-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.15University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
-
3.54University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.2%1st Place
-
4.9University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
-
5.56University of California at Berkeley1.170.1%1st Place
-
5.11University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
-
2.89University of Southern California2.470.3%1st Place
-
7.08University of California at San Diego0.490.0%1st Place
-
6.62University of California at Los Angeles0.670.0%1st Place
-
8.05University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
-
7.09Arizona State University0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Delfino | 14.3% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Ian Stokes | 19.7% | 18.3% | 16.5% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Hiew | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 1.4% |
| Martin Gibson | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 4.5% |
| Nicholas Weis | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 2.6% |
| John Coakley | 27.6% | 23.4% | 16.5% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Joseph McArdle | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 17.0% | 17.7% | 18.2% |
| James Healy | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 16.8% | 12.5% |
| Anthony Helm | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 18.5% | 39.4% |
| Austin Hodges | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 19.5% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.