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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+2.39vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.81+2.08vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.48+1.74vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.17+0.36vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07+1.70vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.47-4.18vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine1.35-3.00vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.33-1.82vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.44-4.14vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.44-5.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.2%1st Place
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4.08University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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4.74University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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5.36University of California at Berkeley1.170.1%1st Place
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7.7University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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2.82University of Southern California2.470.3%1st Place
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5.0University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
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8.18University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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6.86Arizona State University0.440.0%1st Place
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6.88University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Stokes | 21.4% | 20.5% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 14.0% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Jacob Hiew | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Martin Gibson | 6.4% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 2.4% |
| Anthony Helm | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 14.2% | 23.5% | 28.2% |
| John Coakley | 29.3% | 22.9% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Weis | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Christopher Keefe | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 20.2% | 39.4% |
| Austin Hodges | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 19.3% | 17.0% | 13.4% |
| Gabriel Monti | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 18.9% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.