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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+1.36vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego1.81+1.04vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.17+0.41vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine1.35-1.02vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.47-4.20vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.48-3.34vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07-1.11vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.44-3.20vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.44-4.14vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.33-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.2%1st Place
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4.04University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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5.41University of California at Berkeley1.170.1%1st Place
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4.98University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
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2.8University of Southern California2.470.3%1st Place
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4.66University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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7.89University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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6.8University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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6.86Arizona State University0.440.0%1st Place
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8.21University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Stokes | 21.7% | 19.3% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 13.4% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Martin Gibson | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 2.4% |
| Nicholas Weis | 8.0% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 18.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 1.4% |
| John Coakley | 28.9% | 24.8% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hiew | 10.5% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Anthony Helm | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 23.2% | 29.2% |
| Gabriel Monti | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 18.5% | 18.0% | 11.4% |
| Austin Hodges | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 17.8% | 18.7% | 13.3% |
| Christopher Keefe | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 19.7% | 40.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.