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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07+7.01vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+0.56vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego1.81+0.25vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.17+0.55vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.49+0.94vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.47-4.08vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.48-3.10vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine1.35-4.87vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.44-3.90vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.67-5.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.01University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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3.56University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.2%1st Place
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4.25University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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5.55University of California at Berkeley1.170.1%1st Place
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6.94University of California at San Diego0.490.0%1st Place
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2.92University of Southern California2.470.3%1st Place
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4.9University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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5.13University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
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7.1Arizona State University0.440.0%1st Place
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6.64University of California at Los Angeles0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Helm | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 17.9% | 39.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 19.1% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 14.5% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Martin Gibson | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 4.8% |
| Joseph McArdle | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 18.7% | 18.1% |
| John Coakley | 28.6% | 21.8% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Hiew | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Nicholas Weis | 8.1% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 3.1% |
| Austin Hodges | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 16.5% | 19.6% | 18.2% |
| James Healy | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 17.5% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.