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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+0.52vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego1.81+0.24vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07+3.12vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.48-1.11vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.67-0.47vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.47-5.08vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine1.35-3.84vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.17-4.49vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.49-3.99vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.44-4.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.2%1st Place
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4.24University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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8.12University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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4.89University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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6.53University of California at Los Angeles0.670.1%1st Place
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2.92University of Southern California2.470.3%1st Place
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5.16University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
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5.51University of California at Berkeley1.170.1%1st Place
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7.01University of California at San Diego0.490.0%1st Place
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7.1Arizona State University0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Stokes | 20.8% | 18.9% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 13.6% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Anthony Helm | 2.6% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 19.4% | 41.2% |
| Jacob Hiew | 8.8% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| James Healy | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 17.1% | 17.0% | 11.6% |
| John Coakley | 27.9% | 22.2% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Weis | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 2.8% |
| Martin Gibson | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 4.5% |
| Joseph McArdle | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 17.3% | 18.3% | 17.5% |
| Austin Hodges | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 19.5% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.