Race 3A

maisa-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Caroline Patten 25.7% 21.9% 19.8% 14.1% 9.9% 5.7% 2.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Evan Siepert 10.6% 15.5% 16.3% 17.4% 18.5% 14.1% 5.5% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Bergan 2.7% 4.1% 5.0% 6.2% 9.0% 15.3% 35.3% 18.7% 3.7% 0.0%
James Allsopp 12.4% 13.5% 13.7% 17.1% 17.5% 14.8% 9.0% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Graham Gardner 12.9% 14.2% 15.8% 14.7% 15.9% 14.4% 9.3% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Harry Scott 27.5% 22.6% 17.8% 16.1% 10.0% 4.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Billy Hluchan 6.8% 6.2% 9.4% 12.4% 15.0% 23.1% 20.4% 5.7% 1.0% 0.0%
Brian Street 0.4% 1.0% 1.1% 0.5% 1.4% 3.4% 6.5% 26.8% 58.9% 0.0%
Elizabeth Siegal 1.0% 1.0% 1.1% 1.5% 2.8% 4.7% 10.0% 42.1% 35.8% 0.0%
Brian Street 0.4% 1.0% 1.1% 0.5% 1.4% 3.4% 6.5% 26.8% 58.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.