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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.02+4.68vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.03+5.43vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.08+7.12vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.22+3.30vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.08+4.63vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.09+0.08vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+0.40vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.59-0.62vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.07+0.66vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.89-0.50vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.48-6.21vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.40+0.03vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.05-3.44vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.46-2.55vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40-5.73vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.30-7.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Boston College2.0210.8%1st Place
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7.43Bowdoin College2.037.8%1st Place
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10.12Tufts University1.083.6%1st Place
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7.3Brown University2.227.0%1st Place
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9.63Dartmouth College1.083.6%1st Place
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6.08Roger Williams University2.0911.4%1st Place
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7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.627.5%1st Place
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7.38Yale University1.597.6%1st Place
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9.66Northeastern University1.074.0%1st Place
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9.5Connecticut College0.894.2%1st Place
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4.79Harvard University2.4815.3%1st Place
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12.03Boston University0.401.8%1st Place
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9.56University of Vermont1.053.4%1st Place
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11.45Salve Regina University0.462.2%1st Place
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9.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.404.4%1st Place
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8.72University of Rhode Island1.305.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Redmond | 10.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Oliver Keeves | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% |
| Mason Stang | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Ben Sheppard | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% |
| Oliver Stokke | 11.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| William Kulas | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Mathias Reimer | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% |
| Henry Scholz | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 15.3% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Stewart | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 25.6% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 21.1% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.