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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego1.81+2.98vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine1.35+2.99vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+0.44vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.47-2.18vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.48-2.35vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.17-2.72vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.44-2.08vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07-2.22vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.33-2.75vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.44-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98University of California at San Diego1.810.2%1st Place
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4.99University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
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3.44University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.2%1st Place
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2.82University of Southern California2.470.3%1st Place
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4.65University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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5.28University of California at Berkeley1.170.1%1st Place
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6.92University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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7.78University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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8.25University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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6.87Arizona State University0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Delfino | 16.3% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Weis | 9.3% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Ian Stokes | 18.7% | 20.3% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 27.0% | 24.6% | 18.1% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Hiew | 10.8% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Martin Gibson | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 2.1% |
| Gabriel Monti | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 19.5% | 12.1% |
| Anthony Helm | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 21.5% | 28.8% |
| Christopher Keefe | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 13.4% | 19.8% | 41.2% |
| Austin Hodges | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 18.3% | 19.4% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.