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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+2.37vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.47-0.17vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.81-0.87vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.33+2.27vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07+0.69vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine1.35-3.02vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.48-4.31vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.17-4.68vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.44-4.14vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.44-5.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.2%1st Place
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2.83University of Southern California2.470.3%1st Place
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4.13University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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8.27University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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7.69University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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4.98University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
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4.69University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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5.32University of California at Berkeley1.170.1%1st Place
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6.86Arizona State University0.440.0%1st Place
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6.88University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Stokes | 22.2% | 19.7% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| John Coakley | 28.7% | 21.7% | 19.0% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 13.8% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Keefe | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 21.3% | 39.7% |
| Anthony Helm | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 15.3% | 23.0% | 27.7% |
| Nicholas Weis | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| Jacob Hiew | 7.9% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Martin Gibson | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 2.4% |
| Austin Hodges | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 18.1% | 13.1% |
| Gabriel Monti | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 18.3% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.