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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+2.52vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.81+2.22vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07+4.11vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.49+1.05vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.67-0.46vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine1.35-2.82vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.17-3.45vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.48-5.19vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.47-8.08vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.44-4.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.2%1st Place
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4.22University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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8.11University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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7.05University of California at San Diego0.490.0%1st Place
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6.54University of California at Los Angeles0.670.1%1st Place
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5.18University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
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5.55University of California at Berkeley1.170.1%1st Place
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4.81University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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2.92University of Southern California2.470.3%1st Place
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7.1Arizona State University0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Stokes | 21.1% | 18.5% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 13.8% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Anthony Helm | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 19.6% | 41.1% |
| Joseph McArdle | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 16.6% | 18.8% | 17.4% |
| James Healy | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 17.1% | 17.6% | 11.5% |
| Nicholas Weis | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 3.1% |
| Martin Gibson | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 3.4% |
| Jacob Hiew | 8.9% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| John Coakley | 26.9% | 22.4% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hodges | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 18.8% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.