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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+1.50vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego1.81+1.21vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine1.35+1.25vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.49+2.04vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.47-4.12vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07-0.02vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.67-2.28vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.48-5.18vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.17-5.50vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.44-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.2%1st Place
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4.21University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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5.25University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
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7.04University of California at San Diego0.490.0%1st Place
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2.88University of Southern California2.470.3%1st Place
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7.98University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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6.72University of California at Los Angeles0.670.0%1st Place
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4.82University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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5.5University of California at Berkeley1.170.1%1st Place
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7.11Arizona State University0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Stokes | 21.7% | 17.3% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 12.8% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Weis | 7.7% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 3.2% |
| Joseph McArdle | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 16.7% | 20.3% | 15.7% |
| John Coakley | 28.4% | 22.8% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Anthony Helm | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 17.8% | 39.8% |
| James Healy | 3.7% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 15.9% | 13.2% |
| Jacob Hiew | 9.6% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Martin Gibson | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 3.8% |
| Austin Hodges | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 19.4% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.