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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+2.49vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.81+2.19vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.48+0.94vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine1.35+0.17vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.47-3.10vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.67-1.40vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07-0.87vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.17-4.54vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.44-3.92vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.49-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.2%1st Place
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4.19University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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4.94University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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5.17University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
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2.9University of Southern California2.470.3%1st Place
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6.6University of California at Los Angeles0.670.1%1st Place
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8.13University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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5.46University of California at Berkeley1.170.1%1st Place
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7.08Arizona State University0.440.0%1st Place
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7.04University of California at San Diego0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Stokes | 21.4% | 18.0% | 17.1% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 12.7% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Hiew | 9.1% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Weis | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 2.6% |
| John Coakley | 28.2% | 22.9% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| James Healy | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 13.9% |
| Anthony Helm | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 20.9% | 38.1% |
| Martin Gibson | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 3.9% |
| Austin Hodges | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 20.5% | 18.3% |
| Joseph McArdle | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.