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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego2.89+0.91vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-0.09vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine1.71-0.59vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.70+2.69vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.56-0.66vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.78-2.12vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.10-1.78vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.17-2.30vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.33-3.01vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara-1.64-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91University of California at San Diego2.890.5%1st Place
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2.91University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.2%1st Place
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3.41University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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7.69University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
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5.34University of California at Berkeley0.560.1%1st Place
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4.88University of Southern California0.780.1%1st Place
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6.22Arizona State University0.100.0%1st Place
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6.7University of California at Los Angeles-0.170.0%1st Place
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6.99University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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8.93University of California at Santa Barbara-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Morris | 47.5% | 29.1% | 12.8% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 19.8% | 25.3% | 23.6% | 15.3% | 9.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 13.8% | 17.4% | 23.8% | 19.7% | 14.5% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 0.8% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 18.2% | 27.2% | 18.2% |
| Nina Alpert | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 17.7% | 16.0% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 16.3% | 18.4% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Chad Hardgrove | 2.1% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 17.1% | 18.8% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 3.7% |
| Gabrielle Robertson | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 16.5% | 18.1% | 17.6% | 7.3% |
| Christopher Keefe | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 20.1% | 19.2% | 9.6% |
| Natalie Davidson | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 58.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.