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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine1.71+2.60vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+0.09vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego2.89-1.98vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.56-0.26vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.78-1.72vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.57-2.33vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.49-3.07vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.70-2.08vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.10-4.40vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara-1.64-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6University of California at Irvine1.710.2%1st Place
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3.09University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.2%1st Place
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2.02University of California at San Diego2.890.4%1st Place
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5.74University of California at Berkeley0.560.0%1st Place
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5.28University of Southern California0.780.1%1st Place
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5.67University of California at Los Angeles0.570.1%1st Place
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5.93University of California at San Diego0.490.0%1st Place
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7.92University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
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6.6Arizona State University0.100.0%1st Place
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9.14University of California at Santa Barbara-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Heller | 15.8% | 16.8% | 20.3% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ginger Luckey | 19.4% | 23.4% | 20.1% | 17.4% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Morris | 42.9% | 28.7% | 16.5% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nina Alpert | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 7.8% | 2.1% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 10.6% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Anoop Galivanche | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 8.7% | 2.0% |
| Joseph McArdle | 3.0% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 18.5% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 3.0% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 33.1% | 21.9% |
| Chad Hardgrove | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 20.1% | 17.1% | 5.2% |
| Natalie Davidson | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 7.5% | 16.6% | 64.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.