Race 4A

maisa-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Graham Gardner 11.8% 13.0% 14.1% 17.2% 17.0% 14.2% 10.4% 2.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Caroline Patten 22.9% 22.5% 18.8% 16.6% 10.5% 5.8% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Harry Scott 26.8% 22.2% 18.0% 14.1% 10.3% 6.6% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Billy Hluchan 6.8% 7.5% 10.7% 12.6% 15.0% 22.8% 18.2% 5.8% 0.6% 0.0%
James Allsopp 11.3% 14.7% 16.6% 13.8% 17.1% 14.6% 8.7% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Evan Siepert 15.6% 14.4% 15.9% 17.4% 17.0% 12.7% 6.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Bergan 3.2% 4.0% 3.7% 6.1% 8.9% 16.8% 34.6% 18.5% 4.2% 0.0%
Brian Street 0.8% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 3.2% 7.4% 26.1% 59.0% 0.0%
Brian Street 0.8% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 3.2% 7.4% 26.1% 59.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Siegal 0.8% 1.1% 1.3% 1.3% 3.1% 3.3% 10.5% 42.9% 35.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.