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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.22+6.15vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.59+5.51vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40+6.37vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.03+3.38vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.48-0.07vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.30+2.64vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.02-1.26vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.46+3.69vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62-1.42vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.08+0.06vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.09-4.82vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.40-0.19vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.07-3.47vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.89-4.50vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College1.08-5.61vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.05-6.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15Brown University2.228.6%1st Place
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7.51Yale University1.596.4%1st Place
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9.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.404.7%1st Place
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7.38Bowdoin College2.038.5%1st Place
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4.93Harvard University2.4814.4%1st Place
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8.64University of Rhode Island1.304.9%1st Place
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5.74Boston College2.0211.6%1st Place
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11.69Salve Regina University0.461.8%1st Place
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7.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.626.3%1st Place
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10.06Tufts University1.082.9%1st Place
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6.18Roger Williams University2.0910.5%1st Place
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11.81Boston University0.402.3%1st Place
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9.53Northeastern University1.074.8%1st Place
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9.5Connecticut College0.893.9%1st Place
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9.39Dartmouth College1.084.6%1st Place
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9.52University of Vermont1.053.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason Stang | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
Mathias Reimer | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
Bradley Whiteway | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% |
Thibault Antonietti | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
Mitchell Callahan | 14.4% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Christopher Chwalk | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
Jack Redmond | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
Emil Tullberg | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 22.4% |
William Kulas | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% |
Oliver Keeves | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% |
Oliver Stokke | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Peter Stewart | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 15.7% | 25.4% |
Joshua Dillon | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% |
Henry Scholz | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 5.6% |
Ben Sheppard | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% |
Calvin Lamosse | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.