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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego2.89+0.99vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+0.07vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine1.71-0.36vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.56+0.70vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.49-0.19vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.70+0.91vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.78-2.65vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.57-3.26vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.10-4.37vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara-1.64-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.99University of California at San Diego2.890.5%1st Place
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3.07University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.2%1st Place
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3.64University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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5.7University of California at Berkeley0.560.0%1st Place
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5.81University of California at San Diego0.490.0%1st Place
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7.91University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
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5.35University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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5.74University of California at Los Angeles0.570.0%1st Place
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6.63Arizona State University0.100.0%1st Place
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9.15University of California at Santa Barbara-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Morris | 47.2% | 26.8% | 13.4% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 19.1% | 24.5% | 19.8% | 17.2% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 14.0% | 15.0% | 22.3% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nina Alpert | 2.9% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 7.7% | 1.7% |
| Joseph McArdle | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 17.9% | 15.7% | 8.6% | 2.5% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 31.9% | 22.8% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 4.3% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 15.9% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 1.3% |
| Anoop Galivanche | 4.0% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 15.0% | 9.2% | 1.9% |
| Chad Hardgrove | 2.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 19.1% | 19.3% | 4.9% |
| Natalie Davidson | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 16.4% | 64.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.