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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine1.71+2.38vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego2.89-1.08vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.78+0.96vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-2.13vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.33+0.87vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.42-0.93vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.56-3.69vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.10-3.86vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.70-3.40vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara-1.64-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38University of California at Irvine1.710.2%1st Place
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1.92University of California at San Diego2.890.5%1st Place
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4.96University of Southern California0.780.1%1st Place
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2.87University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.2%1st Place
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6.87University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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7.07University of California at Los Angeles-0.420.0%1st Place
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5.31University of California at Berkeley0.560.0%1st Place
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6.14Arizona State University0.100.0%1st Place
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7.6University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
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8.89University of California at Santa Barbara-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Heller | 15.1% | 20.0% | 21.8% | 18.3% | 12.7% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Morris | 47.7% | 26.7% | 15.2% | 7.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 6.3% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 18.2% | 19.5% | 13.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Ginger Luckey | 18.7% | 27.4% | 23.6% | 16.2% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keefe | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 16.0% | 20.5% | 18.7% | 8.1% |
| Justina Leo | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 15.7% | 19.1% | 20.6% | 11.4% |
| Nina Alpert | 3.5% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 18.2% | 18.2% | 14.9% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Chad Hardgrove | 2.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 11.3% | 3.7% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 1.1% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 18.5% | 25.2% | 17.6% |
| Natalie Davidson | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 16.5% | 57.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.