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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego2.89+0.91vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-0.10vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine1.71-0.59vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.70+2.68vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.56-0.67vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.33-1.02vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.78-4.03vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.10-3.81vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-0.17-4.28vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara-1.64-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91University of California at San Diego2.890.5%1st Place
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2.9University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.2%1st Place
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3.41University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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7.68University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
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5.33University of California at Berkeley0.560.1%1st Place
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6.98University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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4.97University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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6.19Arizona State University0.100.0%1st Place
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6.72University of California at Los Angeles-0.170.0%1st Place
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8.91University of California at Santa Barbara-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Morris | 48.1% | 28.5% | 12.9% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 19.8% | 26.0% | 22.5% | 16.0% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 14.1% | 16.8% | 25.2% | 18.1% | 15.0% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 17.4% | 27.1% | 17.9% |
| Nina Alpert | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 19.0% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Christopher Keefe | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 16.0% | 18.3% | 21.7% | 9.1% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 4.4% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 18.5% | 17.2% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Chad Hardgrove | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 17.3% | 10.8% | 4.2% |
| Gabrielle Robertson | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 19.0% | 16.2% | 7.6% |
| Natalie Davidson | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 16.0% | 58.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.