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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego2.89+0.97vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-0.01vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.78+1.17vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.33+2.20vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University0.10+0.34vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.56-1.53vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.70-0.15vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.57-3.53vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara-1.64-1.99vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine1.71-8.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97University of California at San Diego2.890.5%1st Place
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2.99University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.2%1st Place
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5.17University of Southern California0.780.1%1st Place
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7.2University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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6.34Arizona State University0.100.0%1st Place
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5.47University of California at Berkeley0.560.1%1st Place
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7.85University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
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5.47University of California at Los Angeles0.570.0%1st Place
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9.01University of California at Santa Barbara-1.640.0%1st Place
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3.52University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Morris | 46.6% | 27.6% | 14.7% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 19.5% | 24.1% | 21.1% | 18.5% | 10.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 18.9% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Keefe | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 15.9% | 17.4% | 23.7% | 11.0% |
| Chad Hardgrove | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 12.7% | 4.7% |
| Nina Alpert | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 18.3% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 18.7% | 29.1% | 19.9% |
| Anoop Galivanche | 3.7% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 17.8% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Natalie Davidson | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 17.5% | 60.5% |
| Samuel Heller | 13.1% | 19.4% | 20.7% | 18.9% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.