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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+0.98vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.78+2.15vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego2.89-2.03vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.57+0.52vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.56-0.51vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.70+0.74vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.33-1.80vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.10-3.63vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara-1.64-1.97vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine1.71-8.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.2%1st Place
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5.15University of Southern California0.780.1%1st Place
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1.97University of California at San Diego2.890.4%1st Place
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5.52University of California at Los Angeles0.570.0%1st Place
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5.49University of California at Berkeley0.560.0%1st Place
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7.74University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
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7.2University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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6.37Arizona State University0.100.0%1st Place
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9.03University of California at Santa Barbara-1.640.0%1st Place
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3.54University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ginger Luckey | 21.4% | 24.2% | 20.2% | 16.3% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 6.2% | 6.7% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 16.5% | 17.8% | 14.0% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Morris | 44.9% | 28.7% | 15.1% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anoop Galivanche | 3.8% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 6.1% | 1.3% |
| Nina Alpert | 4.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 17.3% | 29.1% | 19.6% |
| Christopher Keefe | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 21.5% | 22.5% | 10.1% |
| Chad Hardgrove | 2.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 17.3% | 17.1% | 14.4% | 4.6% |
| Natalie Davidson | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 16.8% | 61.7% |
| Samuel Heller | 13.0% | 18.6% | 21.1% | 19.0% | 14.4% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.