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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of California at San Diego2.89-0.03vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-0.02vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.33+3.23vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.78+0.14vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.70+1.70vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.10-0.66vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.57-2.44vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.56-4.47vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara-1.64-1.98vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine1.71-8.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97University of California at San Diego2.890.5%1st Place
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2.98University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.2%1st Place
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7.23University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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5.14University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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7.7University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
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6.34Arizona State University0.100.0%1st Place
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5.56University of California at Los Angeles0.570.0%1st Place
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5.53University of California at Berkeley0.560.0%1st Place
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9.02University of California at Santa Barbara-1.640.0%1st Place
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3.53University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Morris | 46.6% | 27.2% | 14.9% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 20.1% | 24.3% | 21.5% | 16.0% | 10.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keefe | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 19.8% | 25.0% | 10.8% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 3.5% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 16.6% | 28.4% | 20.2% |
| Chad Hardgrove | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 17.5% | 18.3% | 12.5% | 5.2% |
| Anoop Galivanche | 3.9% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 17.5% | 15.7% | 16.6% | 12.7% | 6.0% | 1.3% |
| Nina Alpert | 4.1% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 6.6% | 1.3% |
| Natalie Davidson | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 17.1% | 60.5% |
| Samuel Heller | 13.3% | 19.4% | 20.6% | 18.5% | 13.1% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.