← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.92+4.81vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.16+7.15vs Predicted
-
3Yale University1.86+3.61vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+4.01vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island0.99+3.85vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University1.79+0.56vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.09-1.42vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College1.84-1.37vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College1.87-2.84vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College0.34+1.89vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.22-3.22vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-5.32vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University0.62-2.79vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont-0.13-1.83vs Predicted
-
15Boston University-0.05-2.28vs Predicted
-
16Salve Regina University0.97-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.81Brown University1.9211.1%1st Place
-
9.15Tufts University1.164.3%1st Place
-
6.61Yale University1.868.8%1st Place
-
8.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.7%1st Place
-
8.85University of Rhode Island0.995.1%1st Place
-
6.56Harvard University1.798.8%1st Place
-
5.58Boston College2.0912.2%1st Place
-
6.63Bowdoin College1.848.3%1st Place
-
6.16Dartmouth College1.8710.5%1st Place
-
11.89Connecticut College0.341.8%1st Place
-
7.78Northeastern University1.226.3%1st Place
-
6.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.639.0%1st Place
-
10.21Roger Williams University0.623.2%1st Place
-
12.17University of Vermont-0.131.4%1st Place
-
12.72Boston University-0.051.8%1st Place
-
11.2Salve Regina University0.972.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Emma Snead | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Marbella Marlo | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Gray Hemans | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 18.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 7.3% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 17.8% | 21.8% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 17.0% | 30.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.