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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.79+5.72vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+4.67vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.92+2.98vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.99+4.87vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.16+4.02vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.09-0.40vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.87-0.88vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.34+3.96vs Predicted
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9Boston University-0.05+3.63vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-2.14vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.13+1.25vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.62-1.78vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.84-6.45vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.22-6.10vs Predicted
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15Yale University1.86-8.28vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-5.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.72Harvard University1.798.2%1st Place
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6.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.639.5%1st Place
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5.98Brown University1.9211.0%1st Place
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8.87University of Rhode Island0.994.5%1st Place
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9.02Tufts University1.164.1%1st Place
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5.6Boston College2.0912.8%1st Place
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6.12Dartmouth College1.8710.2%1st Place
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11.96Connecticut College0.341.6%1st Place
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12.63Boston University-0.051.5%1st Place
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7.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.606.2%1st Place
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12.25University of Vermont-0.131.4%1st Place
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10.22Roger Williams University0.623.4%1st Place
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6.55Bowdoin College1.848.9%1st Place
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7.9Northeastern University1.226.2%1st Place
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6.72Yale University1.867.5%1st Place
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10.94Salve Regina University0.973.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marbella Marlo | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.8% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 17.0% | 18.8% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 30.5% |
| Emma Snead | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 23.4% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 7.3% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Megan Grimes | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.