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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.38+5.29vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.97+5.61vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.11+4.25vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+3.88vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin3.04+2.66vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University4.01-1.62vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan3.02+0.56vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.48+1.54vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.06-1.62vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.15-2.71vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.65-2.02vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.46-2.16vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-5.89vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.77-5.50vs Predicted
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15Columbia University1.30-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.29U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
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7.61Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.25Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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7.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.1%1st Place
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7.66University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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4.38Old Dominion University4.010.2%1st Place
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7.56University of Michigan3.020.1%1st Place
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9.54Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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7.38SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.29Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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8.98Stanford University2.650.0%1st Place
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9.84Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
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7.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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8.5University of South Florida2.770.1%1st Place
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12.74Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Vann | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Price | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 2.3% |
| Connor Godfrey | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Bates | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Connor Trepton | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| Dillon Paiva | 17.7% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 8.7% |
| Tyler Steel | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| John Ortel | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 9.1% |
| Eddie Cox | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Bryan White | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 4.4% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 52.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.