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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.38+5.30vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.11+5.16vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.06+4.45vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.46+5.56vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin3.04+2.64vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University4.01-1.60vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+0.85vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-1.16vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.97-1.25vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.15-2.72vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.65-2.04vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan3.02-4.07vs Predicted
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13Columbia University1.30-0.05vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.77-5.51vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.48-5.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
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7.16Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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7.45SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.56Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
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7.64University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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4.4Old Dominion University4.010.2%1st Place
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7.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.1%1st Place
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6.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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7.75Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.28Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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8.96Stanford University2.650.0%1st Place
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7.93University of Michigan3.020.1%1st Place
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12.95Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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8.49University of South Florida2.770.1%1st Place
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9.46Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Vann | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Connor Godfrey | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Steel | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 8.7% |
| Connor Trepton | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Dillon Paiva | 17.2% | 17.4% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Eddie Cox | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Christopher Price | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| John Ortel | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 7.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 2.2% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 55.0% |
| Bryan White | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.