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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.59+6.63vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.22+5.29vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.03+4.46vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.02+1.67vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.09+0.92vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40+3.32vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.48-2.08vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.08+1.84vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62-1.40vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.08-0.53vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.30-2.27vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.07-2.26vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.46-1.43vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.05-4.65vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.40-3.10vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.89-6.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.63Yale University1.597.2%1st Place
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7.29Brown University2.227.5%1st Place
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7.46Bowdoin College2.036.3%1st Place
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5.67Boston College2.0212.3%1st Place
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5.92Roger Williams University2.0910.9%1st Place
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9.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.403.8%1st Place
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4.92Harvard University2.4814.9%1st Place
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9.84Tufts University1.083.9%1st Place
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7.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.627.4%1st Place
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9.47Dartmouth College1.084.5%1st Place
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8.73University of Rhode Island1.304.9%1st Place
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9.74Northeastern University1.073.8%1st Place
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11.57Salve Regina University0.462.4%1st Place
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9.35University of Vermont1.054.5%1st Place
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11.9Boston University0.401.8%1st Place
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9.6Connecticut College0.893.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathias Reimer | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Mason Stang | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Jack Redmond | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 14.9% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Keeves | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% |
| William Kulas | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Ben Sheppard | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 22.3% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% |
| Peter Stewart | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 16.2% | 24.3% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.