Race 5A

maisa-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Caroline Patten 25.5% 23.5% 18.8% 14.7% 9.6% 5.3% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
James Allsopp 8.9% 10.9% 15.4% 17.2% 19.1% 15.4% 9.3% 3.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Evan Siepert 15.0% 13.9% 15.9% 18.1% 15.6% 14.5% 6.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harry Scott 27.5% 22.8% 20.4% 14.0% 9.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Graham Gardner 12.2% 16.3% 14.2% 14.7% 14.9% 16.8% 7.8% 2.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Andrew Bergan 3.3% 3.5% 4.4% 6.8% 10.3% 13.8% 36.6% 18.0% 3.3% 0.0%
Billy Hluchan 6.3% 7.4% 8.7% 11.2% 17.7% 22.1% 19.3% 6.3% 1.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Siegal 0.7% 0.8% 1.5% 1.8% 2.5% 5.0% 9.6% 41.8% 36.3% 0.0%
Brian Street 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 1.5% 1.3% 2.6% 7.3% 26.1% 59.0% 0.0%
Brian Street 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 1.5% 1.3% 2.6% 7.3% 26.1% 59.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.