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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+5.71vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University4.01+2.27vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.06+4.38vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.48+5.44vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.38+1.46vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.11+1.33vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.77+1.46vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.65+0.97vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan3.02-1.48vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-2.03vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.97-3.20vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.46-2.11vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.15-5.59vs Predicted
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14Columbia University1.30-1.17vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin3.04-7.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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4.27Old Dominion University4.010.2%1st Place
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7.38SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.44Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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6.46U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
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7.33Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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8.46University of South Florida2.770.1%1st Place
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8.97Stanford University2.650.0%1st Place
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7.52University of Michigan3.020.1%1st Place
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7.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.1%1st Place
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7.8Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.89Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
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7.41Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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12.83Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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7.55University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Cox | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Dillon Paiva | 19.8% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Steel | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 8.5% |
| Taylor Vann | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Connor Godfrey | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Bryan White | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 4.3% |
| John Ortel | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 6.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Andrew Bates | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| Christopher Price | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 2.9% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 9.8% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 51.9% |
| Connor Trepton | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.