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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+5.60vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.87+4.27vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.22+4.83vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.16+5.16vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.92+1.06vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.79+0.79vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.09-1.40vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.84-1.62vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-1.04vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.86-3.47vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.97+0.09vs Predicted
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12Boston University-0.05+0.75vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.99-4.18vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.34-2.15vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.13-2.92vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.62-5.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.639.2%1st Place
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6.27Dartmouth College1.879.8%1st Place
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7.83Northeastern University1.225.7%1st Place
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9.16Tufts University1.163.7%1st Place
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6.06Brown University1.9210.9%1st Place
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6.79Harvard University1.798.7%1st Place
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5.6Boston College2.0911.5%1st Place
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6.38Bowdoin College1.849.8%1st Place
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7.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.606.1%1st Place
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6.53Yale University1.868.1%1st Place
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11.09Salve Regina University0.972.4%1st Place
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12.75Boston University-0.051.6%1st Place
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8.82University of Rhode Island0.995.5%1st Place
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11.85Connecticut College0.342.2%1st Place
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12.08University of Vermont-0.131.7%1st Place
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10.21Roger Williams University0.623.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 10.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Marbella Marlo | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.5% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Emma Snead | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 13.1% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 17.8% | 29.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 16.5% | 19.1% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 21.9% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.