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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+5.75vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.86+4.66vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.84+3.68vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.09+1.63vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.16+4.29vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.48+4.98vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.34+5.09vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.22-0.24vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-1.05vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.87-3.72vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.99-2.12vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.62-1.69vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.92-7.07vs Predicted
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14Boston University-0.05-1.13vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.97-3.83vs Predicted
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16Harvard University1.79-9.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.4%1st Place
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6.66Yale University1.868.0%1st Place
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6.68Bowdoin College1.849.2%1st Place
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5.63Boston College2.0912.0%1st Place
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9.29Tufts University1.164.3%1st Place
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10.98University of Vermont0.482.5%1st Place
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12.09Connecticut College0.341.8%1st Place
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7.76Northeastern University1.226.0%1st Place
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7.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.606.2%1st Place
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6.28Dartmouth College1.8710.1%1st Place
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8.88University of Rhode Island0.994.8%1st Place
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10.31Roger Williams University0.623.7%1st Place
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5.93Brown University1.9211.3%1st Place
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12.87Boston University-0.051.5%1st Place
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11.17Salve Regina University0.972.4%1st Place
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6.77Harvard University1.797.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Russler | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.0% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 13.6% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 17.2% | 23.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Emma Snead | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Gray Hemans | 10.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 8.2% |
| Caroline Bayless | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 17.9% | 31.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 12.3% |
| Marbella Marlo | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.