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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+5.65vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.84+4.68vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.16+6.24vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.87+2.39vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.92+0.93vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.79+0.72vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+0.85vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.62+2.39vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.86-2.45vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.99-0.97vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.34+0.97vs Predicted
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12Boston University-0.05+0.69vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.97-1.79vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.22-6.08vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.48-3.92vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.09-10.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.639.8%1st Place
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6.68Bowdoin College1.848.5%1st Place
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9.24Tufts University1.164.0%1st Place
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6.39Dartmouth College1.879.1%1st Place
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5.93Brown University1.9211.0%1st Place
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6.72Harvard University1.799.8%1st Place
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7.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.606.4%1st Place
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10.39Roger Williams University0.623.0%1st Place
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6.55Yale University1.868.0%1st Place
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9.03University of Rhode Island0.994.1%1st Place
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11.97Connecticut College0.341.9%1st Place
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12.69Boston University-0.051.5%1st Place
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11.21Salve Regina University0.972.1%1st Place
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7.92Northeastern University1.225.5%1st Place
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11.08University of Vermont0.482.6%1st Place
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5.71Boston College2.0912.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 3.3% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Bayless | 11.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Marbella Marlo | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Emma Snead | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 7.8% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 22.0% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 16.4% | 31.6% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 12.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 14.3% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.