← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1SUNY Maritime College3.06+6.39vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+4.67vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University4.01+1.33vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+3.83vs Predicted
-
5University of Wisconsin3.04+2.63vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University3.15+1.19vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida2.77+1.45vs Predicted
-
8University of Michigan3.02-0.33vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy3.38-2.71vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University2.65-0.98vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College2.97-3.20vs Predicted
-
12Columbia University1.30+1.07vs Predicted
-
13Cornell University2.48-3.21vs Predicted
-
14Washington College2.46-4.46vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University3.11-7.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.39SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
-
6.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
-
4.33Old Dominion University4.010.2%1st Place
-
7.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.1%1st Place
-
7.63University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
-
7.19Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
-
8.45University of South Florida2.770.1%1st Place
-
7.67University of Michigan3.020.1%1st Place
-
6.29U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
-
9.02Stanford University2.650.0%1st Place
-
7.8Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
-
13.07Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
-
9.79Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
-
9.54Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
-
7.32Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Steel | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Eddie Cox | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Dillon Paiva | 18.8% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.3% |
| Connor Trepton | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Bryan White | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 3.9% |
| Ryan Seago | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Taylor Vann | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| John Ortel | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 6.4% |
| Christopher Price | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 3.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 12.7% | 54.4% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 9.2% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 9.4% |
| Connor Godfrey | 7.0% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.