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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+5.60vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.22+6.05vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.09+2.66vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.84+2.61vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.99+3.86vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.16+2.99vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.79-0.17vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.86-1.25vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-0.98vs Predicted
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10Boston University-0.05+2.71vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.92-4.97vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.87-5.70vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.48-1.86vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.34-2.01vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.62-4.57vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-4.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.639.4%1st Place
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8.05Northeastern University1.226.4%1st Place
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5.66Boston College2.0911.7%1st Place
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6.61Bowdoin College1.849.0%1st Place
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8.86University of Rhode Island0.994.9%1st Place
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8.99Tufts University1.164.7%1st Place
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6.83Harvard University1.798.5%1st Place
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6.75Yale University1.867.8%1st Place
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8.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.8%1st Place
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12.71Boston University-0.051.9%1st Place
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6.03Brown University1.9210.6%1st Place
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6.3Dartmouth College1.879.0%1st Place
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11.14University of Vermont0.482.4%1st Place
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11.99Connecticut College0.342.4%1st Place
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10.43Roger Williams University0.623.0%1st Place
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11.01Salve Regina University0.972.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lucy Brock | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
Eva Ermlich | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
Caroline Sibilly | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Lauren Russler | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
Annika Fedde | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
Marbella Marlo | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
Megan Grimes | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Emma Snead | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
Madeline Stull | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 16.5% | 31.7% |
Caroline Bayless | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Gray Hemans | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
Audrey Commerford | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 13.6% |
Hailey Pemberton | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 22.9% |
Caylin Schnoor | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 8.2% |
Olivia Lowthian | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.