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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.09+4.69vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.84+4.58vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.86+3.84vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.99+4.87vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.79+1.68vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.22+1.94vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-0.34vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.92-2.00vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.87-2.75vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-2.08vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.62-0.77vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.16-3.07vs Predicted
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13Boston University-0.05-0.19vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.48-2.72vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.34-2.87vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69Boston College2.0912.2%1st Place
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6.58Bowdoin College1.848.8%1st Place
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6.84Yale University1.868.5%1st Place
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8.87University of Rhode Island0.995.1%1st Place
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6.68Harvard University1.798.6%1st Place
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7.94Northeastern University1.225.9%1st Place
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6.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.8%1st Place
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6.0Brown University1.9210.1%1st Place
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6.25Dartmouth College1.879.8%1st Place
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7.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.606.1%1st Place
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10.23Roger Williams University0.623.1%1st Place
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8.93Tufts University1.164.5%1st Place
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12.81Boston University-0.051.2%1st Place
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11.28University of Vermont0.482.7%1st Place
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12.13Connecticut College0.342.2%1st Place
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11.2Salve Regina University0.972.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Marbella Marlo | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Bayless | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.8% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Emma Snead | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 8.4% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 32.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 13.2% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 16.7% | 22.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.