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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.92+5.13vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+6.04vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.86+3.68vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.87+2.32vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.79+1.90vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.22+2.06vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.48+4.39vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.99+1.09vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.16+0.15vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.62+0.35vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.84-4.47vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-6.17vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.97-1.95vs Predicted
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14Boston College1.58-6.87vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.37-3.86vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.34-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13Brown University1.9210.4%1st Place
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8.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.606.2%1st Place
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6.68Yale University1.869.1%1st Place
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6.32Dartmouth College1.8710.0%1st Place
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6.9Harvard University1.798.0%1st Place
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8.06Northeastern University1.226.7%1st Place
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11.39University of Vermont0.482.5%1st Place
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9.09University of Rhode Island0.993.9%1st Place
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9.15Tufts University1.165.0%1st Place
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10.35Roger Williams University0.623.0%1st Place
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6.53Bowdoin College1.849.0%1st Place
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5.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7711.7%1st Place
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11.05Salve Regina University0.972.6%1st Place
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7.13Boston College1.587.5%1st Place
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11.14Boston University0.372.5%1st Place
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12.2Connecticut College0.341.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Emma Snead | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Gray Hemans | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Marbella Marlo | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 17.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Annika Fedde | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 9.8% |
| Lauren Russler | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 11.7% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 15.8% |
| Libby Redmond | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 15.3% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.