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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.65+7.74vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.11+5.14vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.06+4.39vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University4.01+0.42vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.15+2.24vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+0.83vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.38-0.69vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.97-0.23vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-1.19vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.48-0.41vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.77-2.47vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.46-2.11vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.04-5.13vs Predicted
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14Columbia University1.30-1.14vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan3.02-7.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.74Stanford University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.14Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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7.39SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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4.42Old Dominion University4.010.2%1st Place
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7.24Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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6.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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6.31U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
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7.77Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.81U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.1%1st Place
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9.59Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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8.53University of South Florida2.770.0%1st Place
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9.89Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
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7.87University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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12.86Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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7.6University of Michigan3.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Ortel | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 6.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Tyler Steel | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Dillon Paiva | 18.2% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Eddie Cox | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Taylor Vann | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Price | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Andrew Bates | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 8.8% |
| Bryan White | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 5.5% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 9.4% |
| Connor Trepton | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 12.6% | 52.6% |
| Ryan Seago | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.