← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+4.82vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College1.87+4.28vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.92+2.94vs Predicted
-
4Yale University1.86+2.64vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University0.62+5.41vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+1.90vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University1.79-0.16vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University1.22-0.07vs Predicted
-
9Boston University0.37+2.17vs Predicted
-
10Boston College1.58-2.78vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island0.99-1.98vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University1.16-2.98vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College0.34-0.94vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University0.97-2.95vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont-0.13-2.89vs Predicted
-
16Bowdoin College1.84-9.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7711.3%1st Place
-
6.28Dartmouth College1.8710.1%1st Place
-
5.94Brown University1.9210.5%1st Place
-
6.64Yale University1.869.4%1st Place
-
10.41Roger Williams University0.623.2%1st Place
-
7.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.607.0%1st Place
-
6.84Harvard University1.797.5%1st Place
-
7.93Northeastern University1.225.6%1st Place
-
11.17Boston University0.372.6%1st Place
-
7.22Boston College1.586.9%1st Place
-
9.02University of Rhode Island0.994.6%1st Place
-
9.02Tufts University1.165.3%1st Place
-
12.06Connecticut College0.342.1%1st Place
-
11.05Salve Regina University0.972.1%1st Place
-
12.11University of Vermont-0.131.5%1st Place
-
6.59Bowdoin College1.8410.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brooke Schmelz | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Gray Hemans | 10.1% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
Caroline Bayless | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Megan Grimes | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
Caylin Schnoor | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 8.2% |
Emma Snead | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
Marbella Marlo | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
Eva Ermlich | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
Lucy Paskoff | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 15.3% |
Libby Redmond | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
Annika Fedde | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
Hailey Pemberton | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 24.5% |
Olivia Lowthian | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 13.2% |
Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 25.8% |
Lauren Russler | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.