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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.87+5.35vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.97+9.13vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.22+4.94vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.84+2.57vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.79+1.89vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.16+2.86vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-1.28vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.86-1.47vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.92-3.02vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-1.93vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.99-1.99vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.58-4.84vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.62-2.48vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.19-1.89vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.37-3.96vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont-0.13-3.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35Dartmouth College1.879.0%1st Place
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11.13Salve Regina University0.972.8%1st Place
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7.94Northeastern University1.226.0%1st Place
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6.57Bowdoin College1.849.7%1st Place
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6.89Harvard University1.798.6%1st Place
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8.86Tufts University1.165.0%1st Place
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5.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7711.2%1st Place
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6.53Yale University1.869.8%1st Place
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5.98Brown University1.9210.3%1st Place
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8.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.7%1st Place
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9.01University of Rhode Island0.994.5%1st Place
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7.16Boston College1.588.0%1st Place
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10.52Roger Williams University0.623.2%1st Place
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12.11Connecticut College0.191.7%1st Place
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11.04Boston University0.372.5%1st Place
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12.14University of Vermont-0.131.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
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Gray Hemans | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
Olivia Lowthian | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 14.5% |
Eva Ermlich | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
Lauren Russler | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
Marbella Marlo | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
Annika Fedde | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
Brooke Schmelz | 11.2% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Megan Grimes | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Caroline Bayless | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Emma Snead | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
Libby Redmond | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
Caylin Schnoor | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 9.1% |
Miya Preyer | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 15.9% | 24.4% |
Lucy Paskoff | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 12.8% |
Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 16.2% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.