Race 10A

hws-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Connor Godfrey 7.8% 7.5% 8.4% 7.3% 8.2% 6.9% 7.7% 7.3% 7.0% 6.9% 6.2% 5.8% 6.2% 4.3% 2.5%
Dillon Paiva 19.4% 17.6% 12.2% 11.7% 8.1% 8.9% 7.4% 4.6% 3.4% 2.0% 2.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.2%
John Ortel 4.5% 5.0% 5.1% 5.1% 6.5% 6.0% 5.9% 5.6% 7.3% 6.6% 8.3% 9.3% 10.3% 9.3% 5.2%
Taylor Vann 9.2% 11.1% 8.7% 9.2% 9.2% 7.3% 7.6% 6.6% 6.9% 6.5% 5.9% 5.3% 3.6% 2.0% 0.9%
Christopher Price 6.8% 6.0% 6.3% 6.4% 6.5% 7.2% 6.4% 7.5% 7.1% 9.1% 8.1% 7.0% 5.7% 7.2% 2.7%
Bryan White 5.0% 5.3% 5.3% 5.0% 6.1% 6.4% 6.6% 6.1% 7.4% 8.2% 7.8% 9.2% 10.5% 7.2% 3.9%
Andrew Tamblyn 8.5% 6.0% 8.1% 7.7% 7.2% 8.0% 8.9% 8.4% 7.4% 7.4% 6.3% 5.6% 5.2% 3.3% 2.0%
Andrew Bates 6.1% 6.3% 7.0% 6.6% 6.0% 6.1% 7.2% 8.7% 7.2% 7.0% 7.2% 8.0% 6.6% 7.1% 2.9%
Samuel Bedinger 3.4% 3.5% 4.1% 3.3% 5.0% 5.9% 6.2% 6.7% 6.8% 6.7% 8.0% 9.2% 10.7% 13.4% 7.1%
Connor Trepton 5.5% 6.5% 6.8% 7.5% 8.6% 7.2% 6.9% 8.4% 6.8% 8.7% 6.3% 5.5% 6.9% 6.6% 1.8%
Alden Sonnenfeldt 3.2% 4.1% 4.0% 5.3% 4.9% 5.2% 6.2% 5.9% 6.5% 6.1% 7.2% 8.0% 8.9% 13.5% 11.0%
Tyler Steel 5.7% 5.6% 7.9% 6.3% 7.9% 7.2% 8.0% 6.8% 7.4% 7.6% 7.4% 7.7% 6.7% 5.8% 2.0%
Ryan Seago 6.5% 6.2% 5.0% 7.7% 6.4% 7.3% 5.3% 8.4% 7.7% 8.4% 8.8% 6.5% 7.0% 6.3% 2.5%
Eddie Cox 7.4% 7.7% 10.2% 9.1% 7.0% 8.4% 7.6% 6.5% 8.6% 6.4% 6.3% 6.3% 4.8% 2.8% 0.9%
Mary Margaret Meehan 1.0% 1.6% 0.9% 1.8% 2.4% 2.0% 2.1% 2.5% 2.5% 2.4% 3.7% 5.3% 6.3% 11.1% 54.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.