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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University4.01+3.36vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.97+5.62vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.06+4.37vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+2.81vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.46+4.58vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.38+0.37vs Predicted
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7Columbia University1.30+5.69vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.11-0.62vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.48+0.51vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.65-0.96vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan3.02-3.33vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin3.04-4.18vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.77-4.24vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.15-6.88vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-7.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.36Old Dominion University4.010.2%1st Place
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7.62Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.37SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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9.58Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
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6.37U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
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12.69Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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7.38Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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9.51Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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9.04Stanford University2.650.0%1st Place
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7.67University of Michigan3.020.1%1st Place
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7.82University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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8.76University of South Florida2.770.0%1st Place
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7.12Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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7.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Paiva | 17.8% | 18.4% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Price | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Tyler Steel | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Eddie Cox | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 9.5% |
| Taylor Vann | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 13.7% | 51.5% |
| Connor Godfrey | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 8.8% |
| John Ortel | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 6.2% |
| Ryan Seago | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 2.7% |
| Connor Trepton | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Bryan White | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 5.0% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Andrew Bates | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.