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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.92+4.89vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.58+5.20vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+2.87vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.87+2.09vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.16+4.20vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.37+4.95vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.97+4.24vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-0.13+4.26vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.79-2.23vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.99-1.11vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.86-4.29vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.19+0.41vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.22-5.18vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.62-3.74vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-7.04vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.84-9.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89Brown University1.9211.5%1st Place
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7.2Boston College1.587.6%1st Place
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5.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7710.8%1st Place
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6.09Dartmouth College1.8710.2%1st Place
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9.2Tufts University1.164.8%1st Place
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10.95Boston University0.372.9%1st Place
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11.24Salve Regina University0.972.2%1st Place
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12.26University of Vermont-0.131.6%1st Place
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6.77Harvard University1.798.3%1st Place
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8.89University of Rhode Island0.994.5%1st Place
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6.71Yale University1.868.3%1st Place
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12.41Connecticut College0.191.6%1st Place
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7.82Northeastern University1.226.8%1st Place
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10.26Roger Williams University0.622.6%1st Place
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7.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.606.6%1st Place
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6.47Bowdoin College1.849.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 11.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 15.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 16.5% | 25.9% |
| Marbella Marlo | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Miya Preyer | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 16.4% | 27.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 7.6% |
| Emma Snead | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.